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Featured publications

Two New Studies Deepen Our Understanding of the Link between Motherhood and Labour Market Outcomes
18 Feb 2026

Two New Studies Deepen Our Understanding of the Link between Motherhood and Labour Market Outcomes

Two recent publications by Sander Wagner (Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science) provide new evidence on how becoming a mother affects women’s careers, and why these effects matter for gender inequality more broadly. Both studies draw on large-scale administrative labour market data from France and Germany that were harmonised by the authoring team under a DFG–ANR research grant, with the aim of making cross-national research using administrative records more feasible.
New Study Finds Gender Equality Linked to Modest Fertility Rebound – But Not Enough to Reverse Long-Term Decline
20 Nov 2025

New Study Finds Gender Equality Linked to Modest Fertility Rebound – But Not Enough to Reverse Long-Term Decline

A new study from the Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science reassesses whether rising gender equality can help reverse falling birth rates, a long-standing theory in demography. The research, published in Demographic Research, revisits a prominent 2019 study by Martin Kolk and offers fresh evidence that improvements in gender equality can lead to a modest fertility recovery, but only under specific conditions and not enough to counter broader declines.

All publications

Breen, C. et al. (no date) “Mapping subnational gender gaps in internet and mobile adoption using social media data”, SocArXiv.
Chamberlain, H. et al. (no date) “Building footprint data for countries in Africa: to what extent are existing data products comparable?”, Research Square.
Muellbauer, J. (no date) “When is a housing market overheated enough to threaten stability?”, Department of Economics Discussion Paper Series. University of Oxford.
Muellbauer, J. (no date) “Conditional eurobonds and the eurozone sovereign debt crisis”, Department of Economics Discussion Paper Series. University of Oxford.
Muellbauer, J., Cameron, G. and Muellbauer, J. (no date) “Was there a British house price bubble? Evidence from a regional panel”, Department of Economics Discussion Paper Series. University of Oxford.
Breen, C. et al. (no date) “Estimating death rates in complex humanitarian emergencies using the network survival method”, SocArXiv.
Mood, C. and Jonsson, J. (no date) “Trends in child poverty in Sweden: parental and child reports”, Child Indicators Research [Preprint].
Muellbauer, J. (no date) “Macroeconomics and consumption”, Department of Economics Discussion Paper Series. University of Oxford.
Breen, C. (no date) “Black-White Mortality Crossover: New Evidence from Social Security Mortality Records”, SocArXiv.
Breen, C. and Feehan, D. (no date) “New Data Sources for Demographic Research”, SocArXiv.
Reed, R. et al. (no date) “Addressing Social Determinants While Social Distancing: The Development of an Evidence-Based Social Needs Screening for a Telehealth Setting”, medRxiv.
Clarke, P. et al. (no date) “Voting Patterns, Mortality, and Health Inequalities in England”, medRxiv.
Scheiring, G. et al. (no date) “Deindustrialization and the Postsocialist Mortality Crisis”, SocArXiv.
Sonabend, R. et al. (no date) “Non-pharmaceutical interventions, vaccination and the Delta variant: epidemiological insights from modelling England’s COVID-19 roadmap out of lockdown”, medRxiv.
Imai, N. et al. (no date) “Quantifying the impact of delaying the second COVID-19 vaccine dose in England: a mathematical modelling study”, medRxiv.
Perez-Guzman, P. et al. (no date) “Epidemiological drivers of transmissibility and severity of SARS-CoV-2 in England”, medRxiv.
Morgenstern, C. et al. (no date) “Severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) mathematical models and disease parameters: a systematic review and meta-analysis”, medRxiv.