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Featured publications

Two New Studies Deepen Our Understanding of the Link between Motherhood and Labour Market Outcomes
18 Feb 2026

Two New Studies Deepen Our Understanding of the Link between Motherhood and Labour Market Outcomes

Two recent publications by Sander Wagner (Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science) provide new evidence on how becoming a mother affects women’s careers, and why these effects matter for gender inequality more broadly. Both studies draw on large-scale administrative labour market data from France and Germany that were harmonised by the authoring team under a DFG–ANR research grant, with the aim of making cross-national research using administrative records more feasible.
New Study Finds Gender Equality Linked to Modest Fertility Rebound – But Not Enough to Reverse Long-Term Decline
20 Nov 2025

New Study Finds Gender Equality Linked to Modest Fertility Rebound – But Not Enough to Reverse Long-Term Decline

A new study from the Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science reassesses whether rising gender equality can help reverse falling birth rates, a long-standing theory in demography. The research, published in Demographic Research, revisits a prominent 2019 study by Martin Kolk and offers fresh evidence that improvements in gender equality can lead to a modest fertility recovery, but only under specific conditions and not enough to counter broader declines.

All publications

McCarthy, M. (no date) “PROTEIN-CODING VARIANTS IMPLICATE NOVEL GENES RELATED TO LIPID HOMEOSTASIS 1 CONTRIBUTING TO BODY FAT DISTRIBUTION”, Nature Genetics [Preprint].
Keivabu, R., Cozzani, M. and Wilde, J. (no date) “Temperature and Fertility: Evidence from Spanish Register Data”, SSRN Electronic Journal.
Cameron, G., Muellbauer, J. and Snicker, J. (no date) “A study in structural change: relative earnings in Wales since the 1970s”, Department of Economics Discussion Paper Series. University of Oxford.
Colen, C., Pinchak, N. and Barnett, K. (no date) “Racial Disparities in Health among College Educated African-Americans: Can HBCU Attendance Reduce the Risk of Metabolic Syndrome in Midlife?”, SocArXiv.
McCabe, R. et al. (no date) “Epidemiological characteristics and vaccination impact scenario modelling of concurrent Clade I mpox outbreaks in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Burundi”, medRxiv.
Mills, M. et al. (no date) “Identification of 370 loci for age at onset of sexual and reproductive behaviour, highlighting common aetiology with reproductive biology, externalizing behaviour and longevity”, https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.06.081273v1.
Frey, A. (no date) “Them against us: dynamics of intergroup conflict during the European refugee crisis.”
Karra, M. and Wilde, J. (no date) “Economic Foundations of Contraceptive Transitions: Theories and a Review of the Evidence”, SSRN Electronic Journal.
Millard, J. et al. (no date) “Stringent COVID-19 government restrictions were associated with a marked increase in Twitter activity in Europe”, SocArXiv.
Mills, C. et al. (no date) “From metric to action: An evaluation framework to translate infectious disease forecasts into policy decisions”, medRxiv.
Wolfram, T., Tropf, F. and Rahal, C. (no date) “Short Essays Written During Childhood Predict Cognition and Educational Attainment Close to or Better than Expert Assessment”, SocArXiv.
McCool, E. et al. (no date) “A Novel Protocol for an Experimental Epidemic Game to Study Quarantine Behavior Dynamics: The Epi-Q Study”, SocArXiv.
Bruce, M. et al. (no date) “Mapping the global geography of cybercrime with the World Cybercrime Index”, CrimRxiv.
McCool, E. et al. (no date) “A Novel Protocol for an Experimental Epidemic Game to Study Quarantine Behavior Dynamics: The Epi-Q Study”, SocArXiv.
Rawson, T. et al. (no date) “Mechanisms of biodiversity between Campylobacter sequence types in a flock of broiler-breeder chickens”, bioRxiv.
Rawson, T. et al. (no date) “A mathematical model of H5N1 influenza transmission in US dairy cattle”, medRxiv.
McCain, K. et al. (no date) “A systematic review of Zika virus disease: epidemiological parameters, mathematical models, and outbreaks”, medRxiv.
Hole, G. et al. (no date) “A driftwood-based record of Arctic sea ice during the last 500 years from northern Svalbard reveals sea ice dynamics in the Arctic Ocean and Arctic peripheral seas”, ESSOAr.
Amit, A. et al. (no date) “Tracking changes in reporting of epidemiological data during the COVID-19 pandemic in Southeast Asia: an observational study during the first wave”, medRxiv.
Bonsall, M., Huntingford, C. and Rawson, T. (no date) “Optimal time to return to normality: parallel use of COVID-19 vaccines and circuit breakers”, medRxiv.