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Featured publications

Two New Studies Deepen Our Understanding of the Link between Motherhood and Labour Market Outcomes
18 Feb 2026

Two New Studies Deepen Our Understanding of the Link between Motherhood and Labour Market Outcomes

Two recent publications by Sander Wagner (Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science) provide new evidence on how becoming a mother affects women’s careers, and why these effects matter for gender inequality more broadly. Both studies draw on large-scale administrative labour market data from France and Germany that were harmonised by the authoring team under a DFG–ANR research grant, with the aim of making cross-national research using administrative records more feasible.
New Study Finds Gender Equality Linked to Modest Fertility Rebound – But Not Enough to Reverse Long-Term Decline
20 Nov 2025

New Study Finds Gender Equality Linked to Modest Fertility Rebound – But Not Enough to Reverse Long-Term Decline

A new study from the Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science reassesses whether rising gender equality can help reverse falling birth rates, a long-standing theory in demography. The research, published in Demographic Research, revisits a prominent 2019 study by Martin Kolk and offers fresh evidence that improvements in gender equality can lead to a modest fertility recovery, but only under specific conditions and not enough to counter broader declines.

All publications

Rawson, T. et al. (no date) “How and when to end the COVID-19 lockdown: an optimisation approach”, medRxiv.
Doohan, P. et al. (no date) “Lassa fever outbreaks, mathematical models, and disease parameters: a systematic review and meta-analysis”, medRxiv.
Nash, R. et al. (no date) “Ebola Virus Disease mathematical models and epidemiological parameters: a systematic review and meta-analysis”, medRxiv.
Rawson, T., Dawkins, M. and Bonsall, M. (no date) “A mathematical model of Campylobacter dynamics within a broiler flock”, bioRxiv.
Rawson, T. et al. (no date) “Can good broiler flock welfare prevent colonization by Campylobacter?”, bioRxiv.
Morgenstern, C. et al. (no date) “Socioeconomic and temporal heterogeneity in SARS-CoV-2 exposure and disease in England from May 2020 to February 2023”, medRxiv.
Rawson, T. et al. (no date) “The impact of health inequity on regional variation of COVID-19 transmission in England”, medRxiv.
Breen, C. et al. (no date) “Mapping subnational gender gaps in internet and mobile adoption using social media data”, SocArXiv.
Breen, C. et al. (no date) “Mapping subnational gender gaps in internet and mobile adoption using social media data”, SocArXiv.
MONDEN, C., PRAEG, P. and Potente, C. (no date) “Does Children’s Education Improve Parental Health and Longevity? Causal Evidence from Great Britain”, Journal of Health and Social Behavior [Preprint].
Andriano, L., Behrman, J. and MONDEN, C. (no date) “Mapping Husbands’ Dominance in Wives’ Health Decision-Making: A Diffusion Perspective in Sub-Saharan Africa”, Demography [Preprint].
Akimova, E. (no date) “Advances and current methodological problems in understanding depression: a sociogenomic approach.”
Aburto, J. et al. (no date) “Estimating the burden of COVID-19 on mortality, life expectancy and lifespan inequality in England and Wales: A population-level study.”
“Revista Ciudades, Estados y Política” (no date).
Ermisch, J. and Gambetta, D. (no date) “The Long Shadow of Income on Trustworthiness.”
Sako, M. et al. (no date) “Scaling Up Firms in Entrepreneurial Ecosystems: Fintech and Lawtech Ecosystems Compared.”
Thomsen, M. (no date) “Queer Demography: register and survey studies on the lives of sexual and gender minorities.”
Muellbauer, J. (no date) “Housing, debt and the economy: a tale of two countries”, Department of Economics Discussion Paper Series. University of Oxford.
Muellbauer, J. (no date) “Implications of household-level evidence for policy models: the case of macro-financial linkages”, Department of Economics Discussion Paper Series. University of Oxford.
Muellbauer, J. and Duca, J. (no date) “Tobin Lives: integrating evolving credit market architecture into flow of funds based macro-models”, Department of Economics Discussion Paper Series. University of Oxford.