Map of Australia with overlay text: LCDS Seminar: The contributions of immigration to regional demographic change in Australia since 1981

On Monday 29 April, Professor James Raymer will kick off this term's Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science (LCDS) Seminar series with a talk on new insights into the demographic effects of immigration across Australia.  

The talk will take place at the University of Oxford's Faculty of History and online on Monday 29 April, 15:30-17:00 BST. Please email the LCDS Office by Monday morning if you would like to join in person or online. More information can be found here


Talk title: The contributions of immigration to regional demographic change in Australia since 1981

In the context of low fertility and population ageing, many countries will look to immigration to address shortages in labour and reduce the effects of population decline. While the short-term effects of immigration are relatively well understood, the long-term demographic consequences of high and sustained levels of immigration are still to be determined. In Australia, the dismantling of racially discriminatory migration policies in the 1970s and introduction of the subsequent large-scale migration program provides analysts with an opportunity to better understand the impacts of immigration. In this paper, we highlight the major contributions that immigration has made towards population change across eleven geographic areas in Australia from 1981 to 2021. The analyses utilise recently reconciled demographic component data for 18 different immigrant groups and the Australia-born population by age and sex. While net international migration of overseas-born persons contributed approximately 56% of overall population growth over the 40-year period, there were also sizeable contributions made by immigrants to other demographic processes, including 28% of births, 31% of deaths, and 18% of interregional migration. This research provides new insights into both the period-specific and long-term demographic effects of diverse immigration streams across state capital cities and regional areas in Australia.


Bio: Professor James Raymer

Headshot of James RaymerJames Raymer is a Professor of Demography at the Australian National University. His research focuses on developing innovative methodologies and analytical frameworks to study demographic processes. He is especially interested in studying migration in instances where data are inadequate or missing, and has engaged in many interdisciplinary and international research collaborations on topics ranging from statistical estimation of migration flows to population forecasting. His current research focuses on developing methods for estimating international migration flows in the Asia Pacific region and small area demographic analyses in Australia. For the past four years, he has been an active participant in the United Nations’ Expert Group on Migration Statistics.