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Douglas Leasure

PhD
Senior Researcher and Data Scientist

Doug's research spans demography, population ecology, Bayesian statistics, and GIS/remote sensing. He specialises in developing novel methods to map population sizes and demographics with high spatial resolution in data-sparse settings by supplementing traditional survey data with innovative new data sources including social media activity and space-based Earth observations. His work developing bespoke hierarchical Bayesian modelling approaches aims to account for uncertainty in demographic estimation processes to support informed decision-making for crisis response, census support, government services, and global health initiatives. To promote research with real-world impacts, Doug is committed to open science and enjoys developing web applications that translate scientific results into easy-to-navigate interactive maps and tools to facilitate uptake by stakeholders globally.

Before joining LCDS at the University of Oxford, Doug led the Spatial Statistical Population Modelling team in the WorldPop Research Group at the University of Southampton developing Bayesian statistical models and applying machine learning approaches to produce high resolution population estimates supporting initiatives of the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation and the United Nations Population Fund. He was previously a post-doctoral research associate at the River Basin Center in the Odum School of Ecology, University of Georgia developing statistical models for NASA's Ecological Forecasting program. He completed a PhD in Biological Sciences at the University of Arkansas where he held a Doctoral Academy Fellowship and was a post-doctoral research associate for the Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit of the United States Geological Survey.

Publications

Tuesday, 18 February 2025
Darin, E., Leasure, D. and Kashyap, R. (2025) “How accurate are high resolution settlement maps at predicting population counts in data scarce settings?”, OSF Preprints.
Douglas Leasure
Sunday, 01 December 2024
Wood, J. et al. (2024) “Elemental composition and potential toxicity of the riverine macrophyte Podostemum ceratophyllum Michx. reflects land use in eastern North America.”, The Science of the total environment, 954, p. 176118.
Douglas Leasure
Thursday, 21 November 2024
Rampazzo, F. et al. (2024) “‘UPDATE: I’m pregnant!’: inferring global downloads and reasons for using menstrual tracking apps”, Digital Health [Preprint].
Douglas Leasure
Tuesday, 06 August 2024
Koebe, T. et al. (2024) “Social capital mediates knowledge gaps in informing sexual and reproductive health behaviours across Africa”, Social Science and Medicine, 357.
Douglas Leasure
Monday, 26 February 2024
Newman, S. et al. (2024) “Publisher Correction: Offshoring emissions through used vehicle exports”, Nature Climate Change, 14(3), pp. 297–297.
Douglas Leasure
Wednesday, 21 February 2024
Newman, S. et al. (2024) “Offshoring Emissions through Used Vehicle Exports”, arXiv.
Douglas Leasure
Tuesday, 20 February 2024
Newman, S. et al. (2024) “Offshoring emissions through used vehicle exports”, Nature Climate Change, 14(3), pp. 238–241.
Douglas Leasure
Wednesday, 07 February 2024
Anastasiadou, A., Volgin, A. and Leasure, D. (2024) “War and mobility: using Yandex web searches to characterize intentions to leave Russia after its invasion of Ukraine”, Demographic Research, 50, pp. 205–220.
Douglas Leasure
Thursday, 18 May 2023
Anastasiadou, A., Volgin, A. and Leasure, D. (2023) “War and Migration: Quantifying the Russian exodus through Yandex search trends”, SocArXiv.
Douglas Leasure
Thursday, 06 April 2023
Leasure, D. et al. (2023) “Nowcasting daily population displacement in Ukraine through social media advertising data”, Population and Development Review, 49(2), pp. 231–254.
Douglas Leasure
Friday, 31 March 2023
Kashyap, R. et al. (2023) “Digital and computational demography”, in Skopek, J. (ed.) Research Handbook on Digital Sociology. Edward Elgar Publishing, pp. 48–86.
Douglas Leasure
Tuesday, 28 March 2023
Sanchez-Cespedes, L. et al. (2023) “Social cartography and satellite-derived building coverage for post-census population estimates in difficult-to-access regions of Colombia”, Population Studies, 78(1), pp. 3–20.
Douglas Leasure
Sunday, 16 October 2022
Rampazzo, F. et al. (2022) “‘UPDATE: I’m pregnant!’: Inferring Global Use of Fertility Tracking Apps”, SocArXiv.
Douglas Leasure
Tuesday, 23 August 2022
Hemstrom, W. et al. (2022) “Population genomic monitoring provides insight into conservation status but no correlation with demographic estimates of extinction risk in a threatened trout”, Evolutionary Applications, 15(9), pp. 1449–1468.
Douglas Leasure
Saturday, 23 July 2022
Sanchez-Cespedes, L. et al. (2022) “Social cartography and satellite-derived building coverage for post-census population estimates in difficult-to-access regions of Colombia”, SocArXiv.
Douglas Leasure
Thursday, 21 July 2022
Thomson, D. et al. (2022) “How accurate are WorldPop-Global-Unconstrained gridded population data at the cell-level?: A simulation analysis in urban Namibia”, PLoS ONE, 17(7).
Douglas Leasure
Wednesday, 11 May 2022
Leasure, D. et al. (2022) “Nowcasting daily population displacement in Ukraine through social media advertising data”, SocArXiv.
Douglas Leasure
Thursday, 21 April 2022
Kashyap, R. et al. (2022) “Digital and Computational Demography”, SocArXiv.
Douglas Leasure
Friday, 01 April 2022
Thomson, D. et al. (2022) “How Accurate are WorldPop-Global-Unconstrained Gridded Population Data at the Cell-Level?: A Simulation Analysis in Urban Namibia”, Preprints.org.
Douglas Leasure
Monday, 14 March 2022
Boo, G. et al. (2022) “High-resolution population estimation using household survey data and building footprints”, Nature Communications, 13.
Douglas Leasure
  • Load More
This is the alt text
Email
douglas.leasure@demography.ox.ac.uk
Links
Google Scholar

Recent

news
28 May 2025

Douglas Leasure and Nicholas Irons to speak at Migration Oxford event

news
8 Mar 2025

Digital Gender Gaps dashboard updated to include subnational estimates

news
21 Nov 2024

Global trends for menstrual tracking app use

Douglas Leasure

PhD
Senior Researcher and Data Scientist
This is the alt text
Email
douglas.leasure@demography.ox.ac.uk
Links
Google Scholar

Doug's research spans demography, population ecology, Bayesian statistics, and GIS/remote sensing. He specialises in developing novel methods to map population sizes and demographics with high spatial resolution in data-sparse settings by supplementing traditional survey data with innovative new data sources including social media activity and space-based Earth observations. His work developing bespoke hierarchical Bayesian modelling approaches aims to account for uncertainty in demographic estimation processes to support informed decision-making for crisis response, census support, government services, and global health initiatives. To promote research with real-world impacts, Doug is committed to open science and enjoys developing web applications that translate scientific results into easy-to-navigate interactive maps and tools to facilitate uptake by stakeholders globally.

Before joining LCDS at the University of Oxford, Doug led the Spatial Statistical Population Modelling team in the WorldPop Research Group at the University of Southampton developing Bayesian statistical models and applying machine learning approaches to produce high resolution population estimates supporting initiatives of the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation and the United Nations Population Fund. He was previously a post-doctoral research associate at the River Basin Center in the Odum School of Ecology, University of Georgia developing statistical models for NASA's Ecological Forecasting program. He completed a PhD in Biological Sciences at the University of Arkansas where he held a Doctoral Academy Fellowship and was a post-doctoral research associate for the Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit of the United States Geological Survey.

Publications

Tuesday, 18 February 2025
Darin, E., Leasure, D. and Kashyap, R. (2025) “How accurate are high resolution settlement maps at predicting population counts in data scarce settings?”, OSF Preprints.
Douglas Leasure
Sunday, 01 December 2024
Wood, J. et al. (2024) “Elemental composition and potential toxicity of the riverine macrophyte Podostemum ceratophyllum Michx. reflects land use in eastern North America.”, The Science of the total environment, 954, p. 176118.
Douglas Leasure
Thursday, 21 November 2024
Rampazzo, F. et al. (2024) “‘UPDATE: I’m pregnant!’: inferring global downloads and reasons for using menstrual tracking apps”, Digital Health [Preprint].
Douglas Leasure
Tuesday, 06 August 2024
Koebe, T. et al. (2024) “Social capital mediates knowledge gaps in informing sexual and reproductive health behaviours across Africa”, Social Science and Medicine, 357.
Douglas Leasure
Monday, 26 February 2024
Newman, S. et al. (2024) “Publisher Correction: Offshoring emissions through used vehicle exports”, Nature Climate Change, 14(3), pp. 297–297.
Douglas Leasure
Wednesday, 21 February 2024
Newman, S. et al. (2024) “Offshoring Emissions through Used Vehicle Exports”, arXiv.
Douglas Leasure
Tuesday, 20 February 2024
Newman, S. et al. (2024) “Offshoring emissions through used vehicle exports”, Nature Climate Change, 14(3), pp. 238–241.
Douglas Leasure
Wednesday, 07 February 2024
Anastasiadou, A., Volgin, A. and Leasure, D. (2024) “War and mobility: using Yandex web searches to characterize intentions to leave Russia after its invasion of Ukraine”, Demographic Research, 50, pp. 205–220.
Douglas Leasure
Thursday, 18 May 2023
Anastasiadou, A., Volgin, A. and Leasure, D. (2023) “War and Migration: Quantifying the Russian exodus through Yandex search trends”, SocArXiv.
Douglas Leasure
Thursday, 06 April 2023
Leasure, D. et al. (2023) “Nowcasting daily population displacement in Ukraine through social media advertising data”, Population and Development Review, 49(2), pp. 231–254.
Douglas Leasure
Friday, 31 March 2023
Kashyap, R. et al. (2023) “Digital and computational demography”, in Skopek, J. (ed.) Research Handbook on Digital Sociology. Edward Elgar Publishing, pp. 48–86.
Douglas Leasure
Tuesday, 28 March 2023
Sanchez-Cespedes, L. et al. (2023) “Social cartography and satellite-derived building coverage for post-census population estimates in difficult-to-access regions of Colombia”, Population Studies, 78(1), pp. 3–20.
Douglas Leasure
Sunday, 16 October 2022
Rampazzo, F. et al. (2022) “‘UPDATE: I’m pregnant!’: Inferring Global Use of Fertility Tracking Apps”, SocArXiv.
Douglas Leasure
Tuesday, 23 August 2022
Hemstrom, W. et al. (2022) “Population genomic monitoring provides insight into conservation status but no correlation with demographic estimates of extinction risk in a threatened trout”, Evolutionary Applications, 15(9), pp. 1449–1468.
Douglas Leasure
Saturday, 23 July 2022
Sanchez-Cespedes, L. et al. (2022) “Social cartography and satellite-derived building coverage for post-census population estimates in difficult-to-access regions of Colombia”, SocArXiv.
Douglas Leasure
Thursday, 21 July 2022
Thomson, D. et al. (2022) “How accurate are WorldPop-Global-Unconstrained gridded population data at the cell-level?: A simulation analysis in urban Namibia”, PLoS ONE, 17(7).
Douglas Leasure
Wednesday, 11 May 2022
Leasure, D. et al. (2022) “Nowcasting daily population displacement in Ukraine through social media advertising data”, SocArXiv.
Douglas Leasure
Thursday, 21 April 2022
Kashyap, R. et al. (2022) “Digital and Computational Demography”, SocArXiv.
Douglas Leasure
Friday, 01 April 2022
Thomson, D. et al. (2022) “How Accurate are WorldPop-Global-Unconstrained Gridded Population Data at the Cell-Level?: A Simulation Analysis in Urban Namibia”, Preprints.org.
Douglas Leasure
Monday, 14 March 2022
Boo, G. et al. (2022) “High-resolution population estimation using household survey data and building footprints”, Nature Communications, 13.
Douglas Leasure
  • Load More

Recent

news
28 May 2025

Douglas Leasure and Nicholas Irons to speak at Migration Oxford event

news
8 Mar 2025

Digital Gender Gaps dashboard updated to include subnational estimates

news
21 Nov 2024

Global trends for menstrual tracking app use

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