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Douglas Leasure

PhD
Senior Researcher and Data Scientist

Doug's research spans demography, population ecology, Bayesian statistics, and GIS/remote sensing. He specialises in developing novel methods to map population sizes and demographics with high spatial resolution in data-sparse settings by supplementing traditional survey data with innovative new data sources including social media activity and space-based Earth observations. His work developing bespoke hierarchical Bayesian modelling approaches aims to account for uncertainty in demographic estimation processes to support informed decision-making for crisis response, census support, government services, and global health initiatives. To promote research with real-world impacts, Doug is committed to open science and enjoys developing web applications that translate scientific results into easy-to-navigate interactive maps and tools to facilitate uptake by stakeholders globally.

Before joining LCDS at the University of Oxford, Doug led the Spatial Statistical Population Modelling team in the WorldPop Research Group at the University of Southampton developing Bayesian statistical models and applying machine learning approaches to produce high resolution population estimates supporting initiatives of the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation and the United Nations Population Fund. He was previously a post-doctoral research associate at the River Basin Center in the Odum School of Ecology, University of Georgia developing statistical models for NASA's Ecological Forecasting program. He completed a PhD in Biological Sciences at the University of Arkansas where he held a Doctoral Academy Fellowship and was a post-doctoral research associate for the Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit of the United States Geological Survey.

Publications

Saturday, 01 January 2022
Wood, J. et al. (2022) “Elemental Composition and Potential Toxicity of the Riverine Macrophyte Podostemum Ceratophyllum Michx. Reflects Land Use in Eastern North America”, SSRN Electronic Journal.
Douglas Leasure
Monday, 13 September 2021
Nilsen, K. et al. (2021) “A review of geospatial methods for population estimation and their use in constructing reproductive, maternal, newborn, child and adolescent health service indicators”, BMC Health Services Research, 21(S1).
Douglas Leasure
Monday, 14 June 2021
Boo, G. et al. (2021) “High-resolution population estimation using household survey data and building footprints”, arXiv.
Douglas Leasure
Tuesday, 01 June 2021
Jochem, W. et al. (2021) “Classifying settlement types from multi-scale spatial patterns of building footprints”, Environment and Planning B Urban Analytics and City Science, 48(5), pp. 1161–1179.
Douglas Leasure
Monday, 17 May 2021
Thomson, D. et al. (2021) “How Accurate Are WorldPop-Global-Unconstrained Gridded Population Data at the Cell-Level?: A Simulation Analysis in Urban Namibia”, Preprints.org.
Douglas Leasure
Monday, 22 February 2021
Thomson, D. et al. (2021) “How Accurate Are WorldPop-Global Gridded Population Data at the Cell-Level?: A Simulation Analysis in Urban Namibia”, Preprints.org.
Douglas Leasure
Tuesday, 24 November 2020
Lloyd, C. et al. (2020) “Using GIS and Machine Learning to Classify Residential Status of Urban Buildings in Low and Middle Income Settings”, Remote Sensing, 12(23), pp. 3847 – 1.
Douglas Leasure
Tuesday, 01 September 2020
Leasure, D. et al. (2020) “National population mapping from sparse survey data: A hierarchical Bayesian modeling framework to account for uncertainty.”, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 117(39), pp. 24173–24179.
Douglas Leasure
Wednesday, 01 April 2020
Neville, H. et al. (2020) “Application of multiple-population viability analysis to evaluate species recovery alternatives.”, Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology, 34(2), pp. 482–493.
Douglas Leasure
Monday, 01 July 2019
Lynch, D., Leasure, D. and Magoulick, D. (2019) “Flow alteration-ecology relationships in Ozark Highland streams: Consequences for fish, crayfish and macroinvertebrate assemblages.”, The Science of the total environment, 672, pp. 680–697.
Douglas Leasure
Friday, 01 February 2019
Bruckerhoff, L., Leasure, D. and Magoulick, D. (2019) “Flow–ecology relationships are spatially structured and differ among flow regimes”, Journal of applied ecology, 56(2), pp. 398–412.
Douglas Leasure
Tuesday, 01 January 2019
Leasure, D. et al. (2019) “Hierarchical multi-population viability analysis.”, Ecology, 100(1), p. e02538.
Douglas Leasure
Wednesday, 01 August 2018
Lynch, D., Leasure, D. and Magoulick, D. (2018) “The influence of drought on flow‐ecology relationships in Ozark Highland streams”, Freshwater Biology, 63(8), pp. 946–968.
Douglas Leasure
Monday, 01 January 2018
Jenkins, T. et al. (2018) “Distribution of the Endangered American Burying Beetle at the Northwestern Limit of its Range”, Insect Systematics and Diversity, 2(1), p. ixx011.
Douglas Leasure
Friday, 01 December 2017
Wenger, S. et al. (2017) “Viability analysis for multiple populations”, Biological Conservation, 216, pp. 69–77.
Douglas Leasure
Sunday, 01 October 2017
Dauwalter, D. et al. (2017) “Satellite and Airborne Remote Sensing Applications for Freshwater Fisheries”, Fisheries, 42(10), pp. 526–537.
Douglas Leasure
Friday, 01 September 2017
Leasure, D. (2017) “Landsat to monitor an endangered beetle population and its habitat: addressing annual life history and imperfect detection”, Insect Conservation and Diversity, 10(5), pp. 385–398.
Douglas Leasure
Wednesday, 01 February 2017
Leasure, D. and Hoback, W. (2017) “Distribution and habitat of endangered American burying beetle in northern and southern regions”, Journal of Insect Conservation, 21(1), pp. 75–86.
Douglas Leasure
Sunday, 01 January 2017
Osborne, S. et al. (2017) “Central Nests are Heavier and Have Larger Clutches than Peripheral Nests in Cliff Swallow (Petrochelidon pyrrohonota) Colonies”, Journal of the Arkansas Academy of Science, 71.
Douglas Leasure
Friday, 01 January 2016
Leasure, D., Magoulick, D. and Longing, S. (2016) “Natural Flow Regimes of the Ozark–Ouachita Interior Highlands Region”, River Research and Applications, 32(1), pp. 18–35.
Douglas Leasure
  • Load More
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Email
douglas.leasure@demography.ox.ac.uk
Links
Google Scholar

Recent

news
28 May 2025

Douglas Leasure and Nicholas Irons to speak at Migration Oxford event

news
8 Mar 2025

Digital Gender Gaps dashboard updated to include subnational estimates

news
21 Nov 2024

Global trends for menstrual tracking app use

Douglas Leasure

PhD
Senior Researcher and Data Scientist
This is the alt text
Email
douglas.leasure@demography.ox.ac.uk
Links
Google Scholar

Doug's research spans demography, population ecology, Bayesian statistics, and GIS/remote sensing. He specialises in developing novel methods to map population sizes and demographics with high spatial resolution in data-sparse settings by supplementing traditional survey data with innovative new data sources including social media activity and space-based Earth observations. His work developing bespoke hierarchical Bayesian modelling approaches aims to account for uncertainty in demographic estimation processes to support informed decision-making for crisis response, census support, government services, and global health initiatives. To promote research with real-world impacts, Doug is committed to open science and enjoys developing web applications that translate scientific results into easy-to-navigate interactive maps and tools to facilitate uptake by stakeholders globally.

Before joining LCDS at the University of Oxford, Doug led the Spatial Statistical Population Modelling team in the WorldPop Research Group at the University of Southampton developing Bayesian statistical models and applying machine learning approaches to produce high resolution population estimates supporting initiatives of the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation and the United Nations Population Fund. He was previously a post-doctoral research associate at the River Basin Center in the Odum School of Ecology, University of Georgia developing statistical models for NASA's Ecological Forecasting program. He completed a PhD in Biological Sciences at the University of Arkansas where he held a Doctoral Academy Fellowship and was a post-doctoral research associate for the Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit of the United States Geological Survey.

Publications

Saturday, 01 January 2022
Wood, J. et al. (2022) “Elemental Composition and Potential Toxicity of the Riverine Macrophyte Podostemum Ceratophyllum Michx. Reflects Land Use in Eastern North America”, SSRN Electronic Journal.
Douglas Leasure
Monday, 13 September 2021
Nilsen, K. et al. (2021) “A review of geospatial methods for population estimation and their use in constructing reproductive, maternal, newborn, child and adolescent health service indicators”, BMC Health Services Research, 21(S1).
Douglas Leasure
Monday, 14 June 2021
Boo, G. et al. (2021) “High-resolution population estimation using household survey data and building footprints”, arXiv.
Douglas Leasure
Tuesday, 01 June 2021
Jochem, W. et al. (2021) “Classifying settlement types from multi-scale spatial patterns of building footprints”, Environment and Planning B Urban Analytics and City Science, 48(5), pp. 1161–1179.
Douglas Leasure
Monday, 17 May 2021
Thomson, D. et al. (2021) “How Accurate Are WorldPop-Global-Unconstrained Gridded Population Data at the Cell-Level?: A Simulation Analysis in Urban Namibia”, Preprints.org.
Douglas Leasure
Monday, 22 February 2021
Thomson, D. et al. (2021) “How Accurate Are WorldPop-Global Gridded Population Data at the Cell-Level?: A Simulation Analysis in Urban Namibia”, Preprints.org.
Douglas Leasure
Tuesday, 24 November 2020
Lloyd, C. et al. (2020) “Using GIS and Machine Learning to Classify Residential Status of Urban Buildings in Low and Middle Income Settings”, Remote Sensing, 12(23), pp. 3847 – 1.
Douglas Leasure
Tuesday, 01 September 2020
Leasure, D. et al. (2020) “National population mapping from sparse survey data: A hierarchical Bayesian modeling framework to account for uncertainty.”, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 117(39), pp. 24173–24179.
Douglas Leasure
Wednesday, 01 April 2020
Neville, H. et al. (2020) “Application of multiple-population viability analysis to evaluate species recovery alternatives.”, Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology, 34(2), pp. 482–493.
Douglas Leasure
Monday, 01 July 2019
Lynch, D., Leasure, D. and Magoulick, D. (2019) “Flow alteration-ecology relationships in Ozark Highland streams: Consequences for fish, crayfish and macroinvertebrate assemblages.”, The Science of the total environment, 672, pp. 680–697.
Douglas Leasure
Friday, 01 February 2019
Bruckerhoff, L., Leasure, D. and Magoulick, D. (2019) “Flow–ecology relationships are spatially structured and differ among flow regimes”, Journal of applied ecology, 56(2), pp. 398–412.
Douglas Leasure
Tuesday, 01 January 2019
Leasure, D. et al. (2019) “Hierarchical multi-population viability analysis.”, Ecology, 100(1), p. e02538.
Douglas Leasure
Wednesday, 01 August 2018
Lynch, D., Leasure, D. and Magoulick, D. (2018) “The influence of drought on flow‐ecology relationships in Ozark Highland streams”, Freshwater Biology, 63(8), pp. 946–968.
Douglas Leasure
Monday, 01 January 2018
Jenkins, T. et al. (2018) “Distribution of the Endangered American Burying Beetle at the Northwestern Limit of its Range”, Insect Systematics and Diversity, 2(1), p. ixx011.
Douglas Leasure
Friday, 01 December 2017
Wenger, S. et al. (2017) “Viability analysis for multiple populations”, Biological Conservation, 216, pp. 69–77.
Douglas Leasure
Sunday, 01 October 2017
Dauwalter, D. et al. (2017) “Satellite and Airborne Remote Sensing Applications for Freshwater Fisheries”, Fisheries, 42(10), pp. 526–537.
Douglas Leasure
Friday, 01 September 2017
Leasure, D. (2017) “Landsat to monitor an endangered beetle population and its habitat: addressing annual life history and imperfect detection”, Insect Conservation and Diversity, 10(5), pp. 385–398.
Douglas Leasure
Wednesday, 01 February 2017
Leasure, D. and Hoback, W. (2017) “Distribution and habitat of endangered American burying beetle in northern and southern regions”, Journal of Insect Conservation, 21(1), pp. 75–86.
Douglas Leasure
Sunday, 01 January 2017
Osborne, S. et al. (2017) “Central Nests are Heavier and Have Larger Clutches than Peripheral Nests in Cliff Swallow (Petrochelidon pyrrohonota) Colonies”, Journal of the Arkansas Academy of Science, 71.
Douglas Leasure
Friday, 01 January 2016
Leasure, D., Magoulick, D. and Longing, S. (2016) “Natural Flow Regimes of the Ozark–Ouachita Interior Highlands Region”, River Research and Applications, 32(1), pp. 18–35.
Douglas Leasure
  • Load More

Recent

news
28 May 2025

Douglas Leasure and Nicholas Irons to speak at Migration Oxford event

news
8 Mar 2025

Digital Gender Gaps dashboard updated to include subnational estimates

news
21 Nov 2024

Global trends for menstrual tracking app use

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