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Featured publications

Two New Studies Deepen Our Understanding of the Link between Motherhood and Labour Market Outcomes
18 Feb 2026

Two New Studies Deepen Our Understanding of the Link between Motherhood and Labour Market Outcomes

Two recent publications by Sander Wagner (Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science) provide new evidence on how becoming a mother affects women’s careers, and why these effects matter for gender inequality more broadly. Both studies draw on large-scale administrative labour market data from France and Germany that were harmonised by the authoring team under a DFG–ANR research grant, with the aim of making cross-national research using administrative records more feasible.
New Study Finds Gender Equality Linked to Modest Fertility Rebound – But Not Enough to Reverse Long-Term Decline
20 Nov 2025

New Study Finds Gender Equality Linked to Modest Fertility Rebound – But Not Enough to Reverse Long-Term Decline

A new study from the Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science reassesses whether rising gender equality can help reverse falling birth rates, a long-standing theory in demography. The research, published in Demographic Research, revisits a prominent 2019 study by Martin Kolk and offers fresh evidence that improvements in gender equality can lead to a modest fertility recovery, but only under specific conditions and not enough to counter broader declines.

All publications

Muellbauer, J. (no date) “Housing, debt and the economy: a tale of two countries”, Department of Economics Discussion Paper Series. University of Oxford.
Muellbauer, J. (no date) “Macroeconomics and consumption”, Department of Economics Discussion Paper Series. University of Oxford.
Muellbauer, J. (no date) “When is a housing market overheated enough to threaten stability?”, Department of Economics Discussion Paper Series. University of Oxford.
Verhagen, M. (no date) “Computer age sociology.”
Sako, M. et al. (no date) “Scaling Up Firms in Entrepreneurial Ecosystems: Fintech and Lawtech Ecosystems Compared.”
Keivabu, R., Cozzani, M. and Wilde, J. (no date) “Temperature and Fertility: Evidence from Spanish Register Data”, SSRN Electronic Journal.
Karra, M. and Wilde, J. (no date) “Economic Foundations of Contraceptive Transitions: Theories and a Review of the Evidence”, SSRN Electronic Journal.
Chamberlain, H. et al. (no date) “Building footprint data for countries in Africa: to what extent are existing data products comparable?”, Research Square.
Millard, J. et al. (no date) “Stringent COVID-19 government restrictions were associated with a marked increase in Twitter activity in Europe”, SocArXiv.
Breen, C. (no date) “Black-White Mortality Crossover: New Evidence from Social Security Mortality Records”, SocArXiv.
Muellbauer, J. (no date) “Conditional eurobonds and the eurozone sovereign debt crisis”, Department of Economics Discussion Paper Series. University of Oxford.
Muellbauer, J., Cameron, G. and Muellbauer, J. (no date) “Was there a British house price bubble? Evidence from a regional panel”, Department of Economics Discussion Paper Series. University of Oxford.
Cameron, G., Muellbauer, J. and Snicker, J. (no date) “A study in structural change: relative earnings in Wales since the 1970s”, Department of Economics Discussion Paper Series. University of Oxford.
Frey, A. (no date) “Them against us: dynamics of intergroup conflict during the European refugee crisis.”
Ermisch, J. and Gambetta, D. (no date) “The Long Shadow of Income on Trustworthiness.”
Mills, M. et al. (no date) “Identification of 370 loci for age at onset of sexual and reproductive behaviour, highlighting common aetiology with reproductive biology, externalizing behaviour and longevity”, https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.06.081273v1.
Rawson, T. et al. (no date) “The impact of an ageing population on pandemic risk in England”, medRxiv.
Breen, C. et al. (no date) “Mapping subnational gender gaps in internet and mobile adoption using social media data”, SocArXiv.
MONDEN, C., PRAEG, P. and Potente, C. (no date) “Does Children’s Education Improve Parental Health and Longevity? Causal Evidence from Great Britain”, Journal of Health and Social Behavior [Preprint].
Andriano, L., Behrman, J. and MONDEN, C. (no date) “Mapping Husbands’ Dominance in Wives’ Health Decision-Making: A Diffusion Perspective in Sub-Saharan Africa”, Demography [Preprint].