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Featured publications

Two New Studies Deepen Our Understanding of the Link between Motherhood and Labour Market Outcomes
18 Feb 2026

Two New Studies Deepen Our Understanding of the Link between Motherhood and Labour Market Outcomes

Two recent publications by Sander Wagner (Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science) provide new evidence on how becoming a mother affects women’s careers, and why these effects matter for gender inequality more broadly. Both studies draw on large-scale administrative labour market data from France and Germany that were harmonised by the authoring team under a DFG–ANR research grant, with the aim of making cross-national research using administrative records more feasible.
New Study Finds Gender Equality Linked to Modest Fertility Rebound – But Not Enough to Reverse Long-Term Decline
20 Nov 2025

New Study Finds Gender Equality Linked to Modest Fertility Rebound – But Not Enough to Reverse Long-Term Decline

A new study from the Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science reassesses whether rising gender equality can help reverse falling birth rates, a long-standing theory in demography. The research, published in Demographic Research, revisits a prominent 2019 study by Martin Kolk and offers fresh evidence that improvements in gender equality can lead to a modest fertility recovery, but only under specific conditions and not enough to counter broader declines.

All publications

Cameron, G., Muellbauer, J. and Snicker, J. (no date) “A study in structural change: relative earnings in Wales since the 1970s”, Department of Economics Discussion Paper Series. University of Oxford.
“Revista Ciudades, Estados y Política” (no date).
Rawson, T. et al. (no date) “Mechanisms of biodiversity between Campylobacter sequence types in a flock of broiler-breeder chickens”, bioRxiv.
Muellbauer, J., Cameron, G. and Muellbauer, J. (no date) “Was there a British house price bubble? Evidence from a regional panel”, Department of Economics Discussion Paper Series. University of Oxford.
Muellbauer, J. (no date) “Conditional eurobonds and the eurozone sovereign debt crisis”, Department of Economics Discussion Paper Series. University of Oxford.
Muellbauer, J. (no date) “When is a housing market overheated enough to threaten stability?”, Department of Economics Discussion Paper Series. University of Oxford.
Muellbauer, J. and Duca, J. (no date) “Tobin Lives: integrating evolving credit market architecture into flow of funds based macro-models”, Department of Economics Discussion Paper Series. University of Oxford.
Muellbauer, J. (no date) “Implications of household-level evidence for policy models: the case of macro-financial linkages”, Department of Economics Discussion Paper Series. University of Oxford.
Ermisch, J. and Gambetta, D. (no date) “The Long Shadow of Income on Trustworthiness.”
Rawson, T. et al. (no date) “The impact of health inequity on regional variation of COVID-19 transmission in England”, medRxiv.
Muellbauer, J. (no date) “Housing, debt and the economy: a tale of two countries”, Department of Economics Discussion Paper Series. University of Oxford.
Muellbauer, J. (no date) “Macroeconomics and consumption”, Department of Economics Discussion Paper Series. University of Oxford.
Thomsen, M. (no date) “Queer Demography: register and survey studies on the lives of sexual and gender minorities.”
Mood, C. and Jonsson, J. (no date) “Trends in child poverty in Sweden: parental and child reports”, Child Indicators Research [Preprint].
Sonabend, R. et al. (no date) “Non-pharmaceutical interventions, vaccination and the Delta variant: epidemiological insights from modelling England’s COVID-19 roadmap out of lockdown”, medRxiv.