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Featured publications

Two New Studies Deepen Our Understanding of the Link between Motherhood and Labour Market Outcomes
18 Feb 2026

Two New Studies Deepen Our Understanding of the Link between Motherhood and Labour Market Outcomes

Two recent publications by Sander Wagner (Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science) provide new evidence on how becoming a mother affects women’s careers, and why these effects matter for gender inequality more broadly. Both studies draw on large-scale administrative labour market data from France and Germany that were harmonised by the authoring team under a DFG–ANR research grant, with the aim of making cross-national research using administrative records more feasible.
New Study Finds Gender Equality Linked to Modest Fertility Rebound – But Not Enough to Reverse Long-Term Decline
20 Nov 2025

New Study Finds Gender Equality Linked to Modest Fertility Rebound – But Not Enough to Reverse Long-Term Decline

A new study from the Leverhulme Centre for Demographic Science reassesses whether rising gender equality can help reverse falling birth rates, a long-standing theory in demography. The research, published in Demographic Research, revisits a prominent 2019 study by Martin Kolk and offers fresh evidence that improvements in gender equality can lead to a modest fertility recovery, but only under specific conditions and not enough to counter broader declines.

All publications

Monday, 01 August 1988
Ermisch, J. (1988) “FORTUNES OF BIRTH: THE IMPACT OF GENERATION SIZE ON THE RELATIVE EARNINGS OF YOUNG MEN”, Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 35(3), pp. 266–282.
Wednesday, 01 July 1987
De Cooman, E., Ermisch, J. and Joshi, H. (1987) “The Next Birth and the Labour Market: A Dynamic Model of Births in England and Wales”, Population Studies, 41(2), pp. 237–268.
Wednesday, 01 April 1987
Ermisch, J. (1987) “A Partial Equilibrium Model of the Location of Economic Activity in a Metropolitan Area”, Urban Studies, 24(2), pp. 103–108.
Tuesday, 01 July 1986
Ermisch, J. (1986) “Impacts of Policy Actions on the Family and Household”, Journal of Public Policy, 6(3), pp. 297–318.
Friday, 01 March 1985
Ermisch, J. and Overton, E. (1985) “Minimal Household Units: A New Approach to the Analysis of Household Formation”, Population Studies, 39(1), pp. 33–54.
Friday, 01 March 1985
de Graaf, N. (1985) “Husbands’ and Wives’ Occupations: Comment on Hout”, American Journal of Sociology, 90(5), pp. 1078–1083.
Tuesday, 01 February 1983
Buckley, R. and Ermisch, J. (1983) “Theory and Empiricism in The Econometric Modelling of House Prices”, Urban Studies, 20(1), pp. 83–90.
Monday, 01 November 1982
Buckley, R. and Ermisch, J. (1982) “GOVERNMENT POLICY AND HOUSE PRICES IN THE UNITED KINGDOM: AN ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS”, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 44(4), pp. 273–304.
Sunday, 01 November 1981
Ermisch, J. (1981) “Economic opportunities, marriage squeezes and the propensity to marry: An economic analysis of period marriage rates in England and Wales”, Population Studies, 35(3), pp. 347–356.
Wednesday, 01 July 1981
Ermisch, J. (1981) “Housing in the eighties: Demographic impetus and policy response”, Policy Studies, 2(1), pp. 34–48.
Sunday, 01 February 1981
Ermisch, J. (1981) “AN ECONOMIC THEORY OF HOUSEHOLD FORMATION*:THEORY AND EVIDENCE FROM THE GENERAL HOUSEHOLD SURVEY”, Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 28(1), pp. 1–19.
Thursday, 01 May 1980
ERMISCH, J. (1980) “TIME COSTS, ASPIRATIONS AND THE EFFECT OF ECONOMIC GROWTH ON GERMAN FERTILITY*”, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 42(2), pp. 125–143.
Thursday, 01 March 1979
Ermisch, J. (1979) “Trends in Labour Supply and Their Implications”, Management Decision, Volume 17(Issue 3), pp. 228–240.
Thursday, 01 March 1979
Ermisch, J. (1979) “The Relevance of the ‘Easterlin hypothesis’ and the ‘new home economics’ to fertility movements in Great Britain”, Population Studies, 33(1), pp. 39–58.
Sunday, 01 December 1974
Ermisch, J. and Weiss, T. (1974) “The impact of the rural market on the growth of the urban workforce: United States, 1870–1900”, Explorations in Economic History, 11(2), pp. 137–153.
Colen, C., Pinchak, N. and Barnett, K. (no date) “Racial Disparities in Health among College Educated African-Americans: Can HBCU Attendance Reduce the Risk of Metabolic Syndrome in Midlife?”, SocArXiv.
Muellbauer, J. and Duca, J. (no date) “Tobin Lives: integrating evolving credit market architecture into flow of funds based macro-models”, Department of Economics Discussion Paper Series. University of Oxford.
Wolfram, T., Tropf, F. and Rahal, C. (no date) “Short Essays Written During Childhood Predict Cognition and Educational Attainment Close to or Better than Expert Assessment”, SocArXiv.
Bruce, M. et al. (no date) “Mapping the global geography of cybercrime with the World Cybercrime Index”, CrimRxiv.
Muellbauer, J. (no date) “Implications of household-level evidence for policy models: the case of macro-financial linkages”, Department of Economics Discussion Paper Series. University of Oxford.